Sunday 29 March 2015

2015 GENERAL ELECTIONS: FACTUAL ANALYSES AND MY ENDORSEMENT (CONCLUDED)



Temple Chima Ubochi
ubochit@hotmail.de
Bonn, Germany

Count your blessings - not your troubles (Dale Carnegie)Never succumb to the temptation of bitterness (Martin Luther King, Jr.)
A man has to live with himself, and he should see to it that he always has good company (Charles Evans Hughes)
People who fight fire with fire end up with only the ashes of their own integrity (Michael Josephson)
Our names are labels, plainly printed on the bottled essence of our past behavior (Logan Pearsall Smith)
The ugliest word in the world is revenge. It spells hate; it spells fear; it spells greed. For my loss, I must kill; I must steal - must avenge. It's your fault; you must pay; you must bleed (Jonathan Lockwood Huie)

Why Buhari might lose the election
uhari might not win, because, the corrupt and powerful Nigerians, such as the former heads of state and the powerful retired Generals, Admirals and Air marshals etc will see to it that he is not elected, as they know that they will be in trouble when Buhari becomes the president of Nigeria. And Buhari complicated his case by saying what he will do as a president, even before the casting of the votes, thereby tipping off the corrupt elements. That was the same kind of mistake Gideon Orkar made during the coup attempt he led, that made it, the coup, to fail. Remember that Orkar announced the excising of present day north-eastern part of Nigeria, today's Boko Haram enclave, out of Nigeria, even before the consolidation of the coup. Eric Hoffer (1902-1983) was right that "People unfit for freedom -- who cannot do much with it --are hungry for power", in that, despite whatever Buhari says, his quest for power is only driven by hatred, revenge or rancor, just as J. Pierpoint Morgan (1837 -1913) wrote that "A man generally has two reasons for doing a thing. One that sounds good, and a real one". He wants to pay those who overthrew him in their own coin; he wants to deal with the military hierarchy for not covering him up in his certificate saga; he wants to deal with president Jonathan and some members of his administration for killing Boko Haram members, and for declaring a state of emergency in some northern states, thereby making the area a desolate place for economic activities; he wants to get at the Judges for not ruling in his favor, on three occasions, when he challenged the elections' results which went against him.

Just as Eric Berne (1910 -1970) wrote that "A loser doesn't know what he'll do if he loses, but talks about what he'll do if he wins, and a winner doesn't talk about what he'll do if he wins, but knows what he'll do if he loses", Buhari should have kept his plans to himself until he wins the election and gets into office, as his fake assurance later that all those who looted prior to May 29, 2015, would be forgiven, didn't move anybody, because, the "big shots", he is after, saw his later comment as dubiously cloaked. Because of what Buhari said, IBB and Abdulsalami Abubakar had to endorse the re-election bid of President Jonathan. These men, their friends and cohorts will never allow Buhari to be the president of Nigeria. Even Obasanjo, who is attacking President Jonathan, will never support Buhari, in the real sense of it (forget about what he says outside), because, he knows too well that Kirikiri would be his home once Buhari emerges the President of Nigeria. Babangida and the Emir of Minna endorsed and pledged their support for Goodluck Jonathan. Babangida went as far as saying that " Nigeria's safe in Jonathan's hands'' 247ureports reported that former President Ibrahim Babangida has described President Goodluck Jonathan as dependable leader for the country. He stated this when he played host to Jonathan and his campaign entourage in Minna. The former military leader said Jonathan was a leader who would continue with the dreams of the country's founding fathers. Babangida said he shared the same passion of peaceful, stable and developed Nigeria with Jonathan. He added that "whenever I discussed with him, I see a young man who has passion for Nigeria. Under Jonathan, Nigeria is in safe hands. The President later visited the palace of the Emir of Minna, Alhaji Umar Bahago, where he solicited the support and cooperation of the royal father. He said he would continue with the development strides in the areas of transport, power, education and general infrastructure. Bahago pledged the support of his emirate for Jonathan, adding that the electoral reforms put in place would ensure peace and progress of the country.''.

Alhaji Balarabe Musa also described the All Progressives Congress presidential candidate, Maj. Gen. Muhammadu Buhari (retd.) as a fascist, intolerant and an arrogant self-righteous politician. In his words " APC is constituted by, at least, 70 per cent of defectors from the PDP, raising questions as to how much difference it is from the PDP. Buhari has a track record of human right abuses, a tendency towards fascist intolerance and an arrogant self-righteousness ethos; the APC (unlike the PDP) has arrogantly refused to make any overtures towards other political formations not linked with the PDP; the class composition and agenda of both the APC and the PDP are no different".

Few days to APC's national convention in Lagos, Asiwaju Tinubu, his political group and his party, the APC, contemplated denying Buhari the nomination by planning to switch support towards the presidential aspiration of Speaker Aminu Tambuwal, when the latter entered the race. Saturday Vanguard on November 15, 2014, wrote that Team Tinubu, the camp of the national leader of the All Progressives Congress, APC, Asiwaju Bola Tinubu, was compelled by some former Nigerian leaders and Northern Islamic leaders to drop its support for the 2015 presidential aspiration of Gen. Muhammadu Buhari. The Paper told Nigerians that several other factors were taken into consideration by the Tinubu camp in trying to switching support. Among the other factors was the three former heads of state, two from the north and one from the south and a very influential retired army chief from the northeast who has also held political appointments in the present dispensation were among those cited by sources as having prevailed on the Tinubu camp to drop support for Buhari. Also, the decision of the Tinubu camp to drop support for Buhari, it was learnt, also followed reservations from some sections of the north notably, some Islamic leaders. Hear one of Tinubu's associates: "It is not that we planned dumping Buhari, the Islamic clerics, the imams and the political leaders in the north particularly three former heads of state said that they don't want the man". Bola Tinubu is not sure of what Buhari will do, if he wins, and might not be comfortable with his presidency, as I wrote previously that one of the reasons Tinubu and the APC wanted to support the speaker of the house of reps, Tambuwal, instead of Buhari, prior to APC's primaries, was the "fears in Asuwaju's camp that the man may destroy Asiwaju and may come back to hurt him and some of Asuwaju's loyalists".

Governor Sule Lamido of Jigawa State even said it point blank that Buhari can't win the election with the kind of cabals surrounding him. Lamido described the "cabals as dangerous elements'', while noting that those deceiving Buhari were the former members of the PDP who dumped the party and moved closer to Buhari. In his words: "These cabals seeking elective positions are betrayers. They betrayed PDP; the party which made them what they are today. They will also betray Buhari as soon as they get what they want, just as they are calling PDP all sorts of names and regard Buhari like god now. They will turn their back on him soon". More so, it has been alleged that some other Northern leaders have withdrawn support for Buhari. First of all; it has been alleged that Atiku Abubakar and leaders of thought in the North do not see Buhari again as the messiah they have been waiting for, as they see Buhari's presidency as not being in the interest of the north, because, he's likely to serve only a term, thereby shortchanging the north again. The northern leaders think that, in the long run, the south-west region will be the gainers of Buhari's election victory, and for that, are withdrawing their support.

Prominent northern group, Northern Emancipation Network (NEM), a non-governmental organization, in a statement in Abuja, signed by its coordinator, Abdulazeez Suleiman, the organization said, amongst other things, that "Our worry is hinged on the many moral questions that surround the personality of General Muhammadu Buhari, who was imposed by the opposition All Progressives Congress as representing the North in the presidential contest. The most worrying is the nature of double standards that are now shaping Buhari's characteristics as he makes a fourth attempt at the presidency". The group also said some outsiders from the North, who are projecting Buhari, could have hidden agenda to take power through the backdoor, adding that those projecting him may be planning to exercise power on his behalf. The group also expressed dismay at the constant harassments being faced by supporters of President Goodluck Jonathan in the North, adding that the elders should call perpetrators to order. In its words: "The North should rather reciprocate the many efforts made by President Jonathan to change the life of the ordinary northerner than go on a wild goose chase that could further darken its political future". Alleging that Buhari had issues with his wife, sometime ago, for allegedly receiving gifts from Babangida, who toppled him in 1985, the group said "First, we find it quite unfortunate that the same Buhari is now, out of sheer desperation, turning to Babangida for political support. We were, therefore, amazed when reports said that Buhari had personally gone to seek support from IBB and Obasanjo, both of whom he once described as political enemies in an interview with Weekly Trust. Based on this and many other moral questions around Buhari, our group is compelled to reiterate its stand that he is not and cannot be the sole northern candidate for the presidency." The NEM also expressed its concern that certain desperation to take power in 2015 has made the northern political elite so blind as not to consider the quality of candidate that was hoisted by the opposition as the North's sole candidate, the group frowned at recent claims for the adoption of Buhari as the North's sole presidential candidate by a certain group of elders. NEM insisted, even as it called on all well-meaning northerners to resist the temptation of dragging the region and its people into the personal war for ascendancy waged by its predator-elite.

Robert Brault admonished that people should "Be careful of selfish motives. You can mistake them for principles and end up dying for them". Buhari might have plans to deal with the corrupt ones, but, the vagaries of politics have made him to change his opinion, as he is now ready to forgive those who looted prior to May 29, 2015, assuming he ever wins the election. Even if Buhari is all out to give a bitter lesson to the corrupt ones, his hands are tied, as he has "dined with the devils without using long spoon". Buhari is now a compromised human being and will not have the gut to fight corruption, as he has promised, because, he's now corruption personified. Peter obi completed the sentences by saying that "I have always maintained that General Buhari is a respected elder statesman, we must acknowledge that the personal integrity of Buhari does not translate to party or corporate integrity. Having observed that General Buhari is a man of integrity, we should be bothered by the antecedents of most of the people around him. The primary characteristic of a corrupt person is greed, always manifested in primitive acquisition of everything for himself, his family and cronies. This is exactly the history of the feudal lords. If we exclude Buhari and one or two others in the APC, you will notice that the party boasts the greediest set of Nigerians ready to acquire the country for their selfish ends - if they come into office. History is not too remote for us to examine these people and their acquisitions in public office and juxtapose our findings with what they had before going into politics. Good leadership requires humility, honesty, tolerance, simplicity and the ability to work with dedication towards making the society a better place. As somebody who has held public office, I can tell you that the more a person is addicted to conspicuous consumption & primitive acquisition, the more corrupt the person will be".

In the words of Albert Camus (1913-1960) "I'll tell you a big secret, my friend: Don't wait for the Last Judgment. It happens every day", I hereby tell Buhari that Nigerians decided to reject him, for the fourth and last time, even from the first day he picked the nomination form. Iwish him well as he takes care of his grandchildren (as a retiree). The future belongs to those youngsters and not their grandpa anymore!


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